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Journal of Applied Gerontology
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Movement of Residents Through Multilevel Lifetime Care Facilities: A Markovian Matrix Analysis

Dale Feinauer

University of Wisconsin Oshkosh

Movement of residents through multilevel lifetime carefacilities is an integral part of the facility's operations and is of significant interestfrom afacility management perspective. This article details how Markovian matrices can be used in the prediction and analysis processes. Based on an application of this process, it appears that Markovian matrices are a practical way to analyze and project the movement of residents through MLCFs. The projection results were accurate in over 90% of the cases. However, projections based on substate transitional probabilities made an almost imperceptible improvement in the overall projections. Primary limitations of the projections were the relatively high inaccuracy rate (15%) in projecting openings and the width of the range within which 80% of observation are expected to occur.

Journal of Applied Gerontology, Vol. 6, No. 3, 313-331 (1987)
DOI: 10.1177/073346488700600306


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